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Economic evaluation under the diffuse approach: Case of industries the city of Cuenca- Ecuador

Abstract:

The industrial companies of the city of Cuenca-Ecuador, especially the manufacturers of wooden furniture, they propose a growth in production, where the investment cost and the projected cash flows, for which they require an analysis economic, not from the standpoint of static as it is traditionally determined, but from an area of dynamics. The objective is to reduce uncertainty by minimizing risk, to obtain a return whose approximation will be the most real. Inside of methodology will calculate an internal rate of return and a net present value, with the support of fuzzy logic and with the use of triangular fuzzy numbers, which operate as financial indicators under different levels of presumption, which will allow industry management to manufacture wooden furniture in the city of Cuenca-Ecuador, make correct decisions before investing your capital and put in risk to the company both financially and financially. The results found through the center of gravity, indicate pessimistic and optimistic values, represented in confidence interval; the Blind Net Present Value is determined by medium of cash flows, these are between the band and are represented in values positive showing a recovery of the investment, it can be expressed that this indicator operates through an established presumption level, which reflects different possibilities to value a certain investment. The importance of the application of fuzzy logic to the dilemmas of economic and financial management, breaking the schemes that do not fit the palpable reality of the market today, full of ambiguity, uncertainty and fragmented truths.