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Integrated river flow modelling: A case study

Abstract:

The paper presents a holistic approach to river flow modelling in which catchment rainfall-runoff, sewer hydrodynamic and river hydrodynamic models are linked together and applied to the Bradford catchment (UK). The catchment features steep gradients, flashy supercritical flow in combination with dry bed condition and is highly urbanised. Given this complexity and the paucity of data, a holistic approach was found essential, although its application proved challenging.Most important uncertainties inherent in each sub-model were assessed individually as well as propagation effects through the integrated model. The relative contribution of uncertainty sources to the total uncertainty in river flow pbkp_redictions was quantified using the concept of variance decomposition. The results show that uncertainties in model structure and rainfall input in the rainfall-runoff model were significant. However, within the river hydrodynamic model, uncertainties propagated from the rainfall-runoff model were less apparent due to additional uncertainty arising from the urban drainage system. © 2012 Copyright Taylor and Francis Group, LLC.