Morphological Evolution of Single-family Dwellings: A Prospective towards 2100

Abstract:

The objective of the research is to project the morphological evolution of single-family dwellings towards the year 2100, using the scenario methodology for prospective studies, to obtain formal design strategies that can be adapted for a probable future. The research approach is qualitative documentary, using primary and secondary sources to obtain retrospective data and then can project them into the future. The methodological process is divided into six stages; in the first stage called planning, through bibliographic and audio-visual documentary analysis, four probable futures are established and studied by articulating timelines using retrospective and prospective data; in the second stage called anticipation, the most relevant historical milestones are identified to outline these futures; in the third stage, called temporisation, the formal patterns are studied through the redesign of the facades of the selected case studies; in the fourth stage, called deepening, the possible causes of futures that could develop are studied in depth and verified; in the fifth stage, the scenarios with the greatest plausibility and scientific evidence are presented; and in the sixth stage, the prospective scenarios are proposed to the experts to be validated by consensus. The results obtained with this research are a set of prospective scenarios of the morphological evolution of single-family dwellings and their formal design strategies.

Año de publicación:

2022

Keywords:

Fuente:

google