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A framework for flow contingency management

Abstract:

This paper presents an operational concept and corresponding framework for flow contingency management, a component of strategic traffic flow management in the Next Generation Air Transportation System. The concept and framework described in this paper aim to address the lack of information, and simulation and evaluation capabilities provided to decision makers in today's strategic planning process. Specifically, the proposed concept explicitly models the uncertainties present at longer look-ahead times and provides quantitative analysis tools to evaluate the impact of proposed congestion-mitigation actions. This paper develops the overall concept and defines the associated modeling framework which specifies the flow of information throughout the decision making process. An example weather and traffic situation, taken from historic data, is simulated to illustrate the concept. © 2011 by The MITRE Corporation.