A stochastic characterization of en route traffic flow management strategies

Abstract:

Motivated by the need for coordinated multi-Center flow management for the National Airspace System, we characterize the impact of several en route flow management actions on upstream and downstream flows. Specifically, we generically model a single-stream aircraft flow using a Poisson process representation, and analytically characterize the performance of several types of flow-management restrictions imposed on this stream. Using these characterizations of performance measures (which include capacity-violation probabilities, average delays imposed by the restriction, and backlog), we are able to compare flow management paradigms, such as use of in-trail restrictions vs. time-based metering. We also present our preliminary efforts to validate our model for flows and restrictions using historical data. Finally, we discuss the robustness of one of these flow management paradigms to deviations of aircraft from their nominal schedules, and present preliminary explorations regarding several further applications of this study. Copyright © 2005 by the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc. All rights reserved.

Año de publicación:

2005

Keywords:

Fuente:

scopus